Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.178213 0.200775 0.224518 0.251310 0.280646 0.311734 0.347114
2025-04-27 0.152425 0.183595 0.218137 0.259062 0.306023 0.358020 0.419736
2025-05-04 0.130604 0.166879 0.208932 0.260873 0.322859 0.394009 0.481373
2025-05-11 0.115904 0.156116 0.204630 0.266754 0.343414 0.434108 0.548638
2025-05-18 0.104767 0.148069 0.202223 0.273830 0.364817 0.475304 0.618210
2025-05-25 0.092052 0.136400 0.193844 0.272173 0.374498 0.501822 0.670189
2025-06-01 0.081961 0.126991 0.187260 0.271807 0.385076 0.529143 0.723443
2025-06-08 0.073219 0.118433 0.180873 0.270840 0.394234 0.554386 0.774306
2025-06-15 0.067877 0.114111 0.179763 0.276608 0.412174 0.591215 0.840886
2025-06-22 0.061517 0.107601 0.174925 0.276616 0.421894 0.617096 0.893447
2025-06-29 0.055854 0.101564 0.170205 0.276272 0.430764 0.641744 0.944688
2025-07-06 0.050822 0.096001 0.165693 0.275766 0.439084 0.665571 0.995136
2025-07-13 0.047033 0.092227 0.163784 0.279215 0.453526 0.698803 1.060206
2025-07-20 0.044510 0.090323 0.164609 0.286742 0.474104 0.741175 1.139068
2025-07-27 0.040958 0.086279 0.161682 0.288201 0.485570 0.770768 1.200624
2025-08-03 0.038646 0.084204 0.161770 0.294294 0.504101 0.810916 1.278049
2025-08-10 0.036787 0.082766 0.162772 0.301797 0.524935 0.854860 1.361866
2025-08-17 0.033485 0.078265 0.158213 0.299916 0.530997 0.877041 1.414516
2025-08-24 0.030732 0.074535 0.154694 0.299472 0.539143 0.902362 1.472156
2025-08-31 0.028142 0.070852 0.150967 0.298399 0.546102 0.925906 1.527528
2025-09-07 0.026800 0.069596 0.151528 0.304624 0.564948 0.967889 1.611154
2025-09-14 0.024739 0.066595 0.148633 0.304624 0.573511 0.994161 1.671609
2025-09-21 0.022809 0.063665 0.145645 0.304248 0.581327 1.019337 1.730796